College basketball championship odds

March is here, and the race for the national title is wide open. A wild weekend in college basketball caused another shift in the betting odds. Some teams surged after big wins. Others slipped after tough losses. Florida made the biggest jump after crushing Arkansas by 34 points. Michigan still holds the top spot even after losing to Duke. Duke, Arizona, and Houston remain close behind. UConn continues to stay in the picture after a dominant revenge win over St. John’s.

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The rest of the top 10 shows how hard it is to stay consistent late in the season. Several teams have dropped key games but still carry strong title hopes. These odds come from BetMGM and show how experts see the field heading into the final week of conference play. Each team listed below has a real path to a championship. Some rely on defense. Others win with depth or shooting. Health and momentum now matter more than ever.

Here is a full breakdown of the current national title favorites.

+4000 – Michigan State Spartans

Michigan State Spartans guard Jeremy Fears Jr. (1) reacts during the second half against the Kentucky Wildcats at Madison Square Garden. Credit: Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images

Michigan State sits at the bottom of the top 10 but still remains in the hunt. Purdue shares the same odds, but Michigan State holds a slight edge in recent form. Recent losses to Michigan and Michigan State hurt Purdue more than expected. A puzzling defeat to Ohio State raised questions about consistency. Braden Smith and the Spartans must stabilize their play before the conference tournament. A strong finish could change how this team is viewed.

+3000 – Kansas Jayhawks

Kansas Jayhawks forward Flory Bidunga (40) goes up for a dunk during the first half against the Duke Blue Devils at Madison Square Garden. Credit: Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images

Kansas has dropped three of its last five games. Tough leagues like the Big 12 make long win streaks hard to sustain. A loss to Cincinnati stood out as the most troubling result. Fans want to see cleaner finishes and better focus. One deep run in the conference tournament could reset their momentum. Bill Self’s team still has the talent to scare anyone.

+1600 – Illinois Fighting Illini

Illinois Fighting Illini guard Keaton Wagler (23) and teammate Kylan Boswell (4) react in the closing minutes of the second half against the Southern University Jaguars at State Farm Center. Credit: Ron Johnson-Imagn Images

Illinois has lost four of its last six games. Defeats came against Michigan, Michigan State, Wisconsin, and UCLA. Three weeks ago, the team was riding a 12-game winning streak. That version of Illinois looked dangerous. Recent struggles have changed the picture. March gives them a chance to prove the slump is over.

+1600 – Iowa State Cyclones

Iowa State Cyclones forward Milan Momcilovic (22) dribbles the ball against the Cincinnati Bearcats in the first half at Fifth Third Arena. Credit: Aaron Doster-Imagn Images

Iowa State had one of the best short runs in the country. Back-to-back wins over Kansas and Houston showed their ceiling. Three losses in the last six games slowed that rise. All three defeats came against likely tournament teams. Two of them were to ranked opponents. Consistency will decide how far this team can go.

+1300 – Connecticut Huskies

UConn Huskies forward Alex Karaban (11) takes a shot over Georgetown Hoyas guard Jeremiah Williams (25) during the second half at Capital One Arena. Credit: Daniel Kucin Jr.-Imagn Images

UConn had won 18 straight games before losing at St. John’s. The response was loud and clear. A 72-40 blowout in the rematch restored confidence. Only one regular-season game remains for the Huskies. A No. 1 seed is still possible. Their balance and defense keep them near the top of the board.

+950 – Houston Cougars

Houston Cougars guard Kingston Flemings (4) looks to pass against the Utah Utes during the first half at Jon M. Huntsman Center. Credit: Rob Gray-Imagn Images

Houston hit a rough patch with three straight losses. Each one came against elite teams. Those games were at Iowa State, versus Arizona, and at Kansas. Defense remains their calling card. Kelvin Sampson’s teams peak in March more often than not. This group is still a major threat.

+800 – Florida Gators

Florida Gators center Rueben Chinyelu (9) dunks the ball against the Colgate Raiders during the second half at Exactech Arena at the Stephen C. O’Connell Center. Credit: Matt Pendleton-Imagn Images

Florida climbed fast after destroying Arkansas 111-77. Early-season backcourt problems are now gone. Xaivian Lee and Urban Klavzar give them needed shooting. That spacing helps a strong group of big men inside. The Gators have won 14 of their last 15 games. Ten straight wins secured at least a share of the SEC title. A full league crown looks likely. This is their first regular-season title since 2014.

+425 – Arizona Wildcats

Arizona Wildcats guard Cedric Henderson Jr. (45) dribbles against the Stanford Cardinal during the second half at T-Mobile Arena. Credit: Stephen R. Sylvanie-USA TODAY Sports

Arizona lost Koa Peat to injury for three games. During that stretch, the Wildcats still beat two ranked teams. Peat returned and helped them crush Kansas in a rematch. Health has been the main concern all season. When the roster is whole, Arizona looks dangerous. Few teams match their pace and depth.

+350 – Duke Blue Devils

Duke Blue Devils guard Dame Sarr (7) celebrates making a three point shot with guard Isaiah Evans (3) during the second half against the Florida State Seminoles at Donald L. Tucker Center. Credit: Melina Myers-Imagn Images

Duke recently beat Michigan 68-63. Despite that, the Blue Devils sit just behind them in the odds. The team has won 16 of its last 17 games. A road loss to North Carolina at the buzzer was the only setback. Jon Scheyer’s squad is playing clean and smart basketball. Strong guard play continues to lead the way.

+325 – Michigan Wolverines

Michigan Wolverines forward Yaxel Lendeborg (23) shoots in the first half against the Southern California Trojans at Crisler Center. Credit: Rick Osentoski-Imagn Images

Michigan holds the best national title odds. A recent loss to Duke did not change that. Thirteen wins in the last 14 games locked up the Big Ten title. Guard LJ Cason is out with a torn ACL. Adjustments will be needed going forward. Depth remains their biggest strength. Few teams can match their number of scoring options.

Final thoughts

These odds show how close the race really is. Several teams have flaws, but each one has a clear path to a title. Health, defense, and late-season rhythm will decide the final outcome. March will reward the teams that peak at the right time.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER

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